Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.431830 0.510521 0.598210 0.702986 0.824587 0.961073 1.125682
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.342339 0.447198 0.574941 0.741303 0.951452 1.207240 1.541245
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.298343 0.426343 0.595194 0.832443 1.155099 1.576188 2.164517
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.238302 0.371493 0.561158 0.847619 1.265194 1.846660 2.711270
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.201758 0.341116 0.554135 0.897897 1.431548 2.219186 3.457129
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.170472 0.311497 0.542074 0.938099 1.590014 2.605321 4.284238
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.140183 0.276330 0.513948 0.947252 1.701481 2.937244 5.080297
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.116407 0.246805 0.489016 0.956442 1.813785 3.286339 5.954797
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.101895 0.231156 0.485448 1.002292 1.996380 3.777898 7.135787
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.096520 0.232601 0.514319 1.113668 2.315355 4.549916 8.907453
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.085236 0.218616 0.509558 1.157998 2.513892 5.130504 10.409566
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071485 0.195475 0.480775 1.147363 2.601460 5.513793 11.591952
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.057187 0.167605 0.436697 1.097895 2.606409 5.748276 12.542410
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046397 0.145558 0.401134 1.060485 2.631017 6.026505 13.620769
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042062 0.139912 0.404459 1.115767 2.872716 6.791973 15.807616
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034674 0.123149 0.375429 1.085491 2.910760 7.124058 17.117140
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030655 0.115444 0.368923 1.111739 3.089219 7.792095 19.246725
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.027051 0.107949 0.361295 1.133572 3.260556 8.466938 21.476479
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023116 0.097985 0.344003 1.124987 3.352069 8.965853 23.362082
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019931 0.089617 0.329564 1.121707 3.457322 9.512177 25.427814
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018189 0.086201 0.330275 1.164322 3.696485 10.423443 28.489421
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018085 0.089426 0.354110 1.283901 4.173307 11.999849 33.379081
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.016552 0.086088 0.354431 1.328240 4.438312 13.056002 37.067276